There follows my Fund Strategy Polemic column for July. For all the talk of a possible bubble in US technology stocks, the rise in the Nasdaq over the past year is dwarfed by the surge in the Shanghai and Shenzen stockmarket indices. Draw lines on the same graph representing percentage change over the past year […]
While most European eyes are focused on Greece’s economic turmoil a potentially more significant development is unfolding on the other side of the world. In Beijing delegates from 50 countries have recently attended the signing ceremony of the new Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank. The bank will lend billions of dollars to help develop Asian infrastructure but […]
One of the great paradoxes of 2014 was the apparent mismatch between falling oil prices and military conflict in strategic regions. Normally fighting in the Middle East and the Ukraine would be expected to push up oil prices. Only this year the price has fallen sharply since June. According to the US Energy Information Administration […]
For those who are interesting I have written just had an article on the economic and financial transition of emerging markets in IPE magazine (free registration needed to read). However, I have not pasted the text here as it reflects the views of the interviewees more than my own.
The world’s economic fortunes depend more than ever on China’s performance. So when an expert claims that the Asian giant is facing formidable challenges his arguments should be considered carefully. Fraser Howie certainly qualifies as a specialist in Chinese finance. He has written three books on the subject including most recently Red Capitalism:The fragile financial foundations […]
I will be participating in a debate on the Global 10 billion – something to celebrate? at the Mantownhuman summer in London at 12.30am on 16 July. The other panelists will be Danny Dorling (a professor of geography at Oxford university) and Philippe Legrain (the author of Immigrants: your country needs them).
The emergence of London as a centre for trading in the Chinese currency points to both the strengths and weaknesses of the British economy. It is certainly a coup for London that the Chinese authorities have agreed to launch direct trading between the renminbi and the pound on the capital’s foreign exchange market. This will build […]
This column was first published in the June edition of Fund Strategy. A momentous event in modern world history is scheduled for 2 November. That is the day China is scheduled to overtake America as the world’s largest economic power. The forecast is not by some crank but by Kaushik Basu, the chief economist at the […]
This article first appeared in this week’s Fund Strategy magazine. Germany has, for the time being at least, replaced China as America’s lead villain in the world economy. The discussion of global economic imbalances is back but the main bogeyman this time around is European rather than Asian. America turned the heat up on Germany […]
Western commentators are often far too quick to draw sweeping conclusions about China on the basis of limited knowledge. I was reminded of this tendency after following discussions about an article in the Financial Times about young Chinese allegedly shunning factory jobs. The article was based on an interview with Terry Gou, the founder of […]
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