This is my Perspective column from this week’s Fund Strategy magazine. An important side effect of the debate about “tapering” by America’s Federal Reserve is heighted concern about emerging economies. It is widely argued that as the developed economies start to recover their emerging counterparts could falter. As it happens a western recovery is still [...]
This is my Perspective column from this week’s Fund Strategy magazine. There are several factors behind the sharp fall in the price of emerging market debt since its peak in early May. No doubt all the talk of tapering by America’s Federal Reserve has played an important role. A reduction in liquidity from America’s central [...]
Some seriously bad news broke last week yet it received a tiny fraction of the attention the British media devoted to horsemeat. It looks like Indian economic growth is slowing down. This trend has serious implications not only for India’s population of 1.2 billion but for the entire world economy. According to figures from the [...]
This is my Perspective column from this week’s Fund Strategy magazine. What will the world look like in 2030? A recent report on the subject written by American intelligence analysts should also be of interest to investment professionals. Global Trends 2030 was produced by the National Intelligence Council. The organisation’s mission is to provide strategic [...]
This is a feature I wrote for the January issue of IPE (Investment & Pensions Europe) magazine. Asia has more actual and potential flashpoints than a public fireworks display. Simply listing them all would take up a large part of this article. They range from long-standing military enmities, such as the conflict between the two Koreas, [...]
This is my latest Perspective column for Fund Strategy magazine. Sometimes, the conventional assumptions used to examine economic problems are misleading. A different approach would lead to radically different conclusions. Take the economic plight currently plaguing the developed world. One key convention is to look at domestic economies first before modifying the analysis to take [...]
Marco Visscher has quoted me in an article in Ode magazine on the “randomistas”. In Dutch but worth putting through an electronic translator. The randomistas are development economists who focus their work on doing randomised control trials of different development projects. For example, trying to work out how to bolster school attendance or get people [...]
For those who are interested here are the details of my recent Australian tour. I was invited by World Vision Australia, a worldwide community development organisation with a Christian ethos, to speak at one of the One Just World forums it organises across Australia with the International Women’s Development Agency and AusAid. Given I was [...]
This blog post was first published on Fundweb on 12 March. I have often wondered why so many western tourists say they dislike Singapore. They complain about what they see as its conformism and petty authoritarianism. Now I think I know the real reason they react against the place. It is hard not to see [...]
This is my Perspective column for 12 March. More material from Fund Strategy will be posted over the next few days. How about some good news for a change? In fact some brilliant news. The number of people living in extreme poverty in the world is steadily falling. This trend is clearly welcome to the [...]
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