Posts Tagged ‘Fund Strategy

Debate concentrates the mind. It is easy to dismiss opinions you disagree with from the privacy of your own living room. Debating articulate exponents of contrary views is another matter – even more so when the discussion takes place in front of a large audience. I found myself in the position of having to sharpen […]

This is the main text of my recent Fund Strategy cover story on behavioral finance. For a related box see below. Insights into investment behaviour sometimes come from unexpected directions. Daniel Kahneman, who won the Nobel prize for economics in 2002 for his work on behavioural finance, has described what for him was a eureka […]

This box was part of my recent Fund Strategy cover story on behavioural finance. Although behavioural finance owed much to modern psychology it also has other antecedents. Often they run parallel to discussions about irrational crowd behaviour. In the 1970s, at about the same time as Daniel Kahneman and Amos Tversky were starting to develop […]

This is my column for the July issue of Fund Strategy. Those who work in investment are more guilty than most of being too ready to accept the authority of numbers. Words can be doubted but numbers are often seen as virtually sacrosanct. Indeed, financial news often revolves around numbers. An index is down by […]

Given the unpopularity of those who work in financial services it was perhaps appropriate that there was a constant hissing sound in the background. Only this time around the source of the hissing, at least in the main, was a noisy air pump rather than the audience. The venue was the Bowler Hat – a […]

The emergence of London as a centre for trading in the Chinese currency points to both the strengths and weaknesses of the British economy. It is certainly a coup for London that the Chinese authorities have agreed to launch direct trading between the renminbi and the pound on the capital’s foreign exchange market. This will build […]

Market reactions to the decision by the European Central Bank to reduce interest rates and introduce additional unconventional monetary measures can be broadly divided into two: those who welcomed the moves and those who welcomed them but said they were insufficient. Both sides misconstrue the nature of the eurozone’s economic problems and so cannot offer […]

This article was an accompanying box for a recent Fund Strategy cover story I wrote on emerging markets. The debate about the rising middle class in emerging economies often gives a misleading impression of the scale of prosperity that has been achieved. It is true, and welcome, that people in the developing world have become […]

This column was first published in the June edition of Fund Strategy. A momentous event in modern world history is scheduled for 2 November. That is the day China is scheduled to overtake America as the world’s largest economic power. The forecast is not by some crank but by Kaushik Basu, the chief economist at the […]

China becomes a more important component of the global economy with every day that passes. Although America remains the world’s largest economy, at least for a little while, the Chinese economy is by far the largest contributor to global growth. The slowdown in the growth of emerging economies in recent years only confirms this trend. […]